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View Full Version : Do Iowa and New Hampshire deserve to be first?


senatorlamb
10/23/07, 09:40 PM
With all the controversy surrounding states like Florida and Michigan moving up their primaries, I'm wondering what your thoughts are on the primary process. Do Iowa and New Hampshire deserve to be first? Or is their prominence really about special interests and tradition run amok?

Some would argue that the relative small size of these states allow for more formal, retail politics in which a candidate has to truly speak to the people, sometimes multiple times to get their votes. It also allows for an insurgent or surprise candidate like Jimmy Carter to catapult over the establishment favorites since money and advertising means less than it would say, in the high priced media markets of New York or California.

Others would say that the demographics in Iowa and New Hampshire do not adequately represent the electorate, especially in terms of minority representation. Bluntly put, why are these states so deserving of the privlege? Shouldn't we all have a say? I remember by the time the New Jersey primary came around in 2004, Kerry was a shoe in.

So I ask, should the prominence of Iowa and N. Hampshire be scratched? If so, what should be put in it's place? Rotating regional primaries? A national primary day? How would this affect both the lesser known candidates, as well as the well-funded, frontrunners?

Go.

senatorlamb
10/24/07, 09:37 PM
Here's a recent article on the issue. Senator Levin is threatning to move up Michigan's primary to undermine New Hampshire. This may cause N.H. to move up their primary to December of this year to remain first.

Read about the impending chaos here:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1007/6539.html

scole
10/24/07, 09:58 PM
I think that this is a big problem that no one seems to be talking about. There really isn't any guiding principle as to when a state is allowed to have a primary. Small, unrepresentative states like New Hampshire have a huge say because they go first, establishing a precedent some times (although I remember Dean blowing any chances of winning the nomination with the whole "scream" incident). It has gotten so bad that Kansas isn't even going to have a primary this year. Who can blame them? By the time the primaries make it around to them, everything is basically set in stone. Super Tuesday was a big mess (I think it is now Super Thursday) and the hectic nature of these primaries is only going to get worse.
I actually really like your idea of rotating regional primaries. I think it has a good chance of evening the playing field between states, and it takes away any incentive of going first. I'm sure that New Hampshire and Iowa wouldn't be too happy about it, but it could be a good solution.