Official: Pivotal Senate and House Races

[saysmydoctor]

The White House isn't all that is up for grabs. Numerous Senate and House seats are up for grabs, with tight races.

Go.

[saysmydoctor]

hWIkiG7CcOE

A mayor, like Palin, minus the $20 million in 'necessary' debt--while still stopping deficit spending

[Machu505]

Anne Barth ftw in WV's 2nd District.

[saysmydoctor]

Anne Barth ftw in WV's 2nd District.
I heard about this but didn't cast an eye towards it. Is it really getting heated?

[Machu505]

I heard about this but didn't cast an eye towards it. Is it really getting heated?

Anne Barth has an uphill battle ahead of her. I haven't seen any polls on this election, so I don't know how heated it is.

[saysmydoctor]

For the record, if anyone is looking for information, CQ Politics is a great poll cruncher. These states are have senate seats up for grabs:

Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming

[Machu505]

Not pivotal at all and we all know who's gonna win, but Jay Rockefeller ftw.

[saysmydoctor]

Virginians: Please voter for Warner, please!!!!!

[saysmydoctor]

Check this out about Barth: http://wowktv.com/story.cfm?func=viewstory&storyid=45252

[Machu505]

Check this out about Barth: http://wowktv.com/story.cfm?func=viewstory&storyid=45252

Already happened, and I missed it.

[saysmydoctor]

http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docid=news-000002976665

[wesgemm08]

Lol what? McCain could still easilly win.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/)

[HashHolly]

McCain was winning prior to the electoral crisis. There's still two weeks left and no reason another big change couldn't happen.

Highly unlikely.

[Adeniz19]

from fivethirtyeight.com:

Our Senate projections are little changed from our last update six days ago. We currently project the composition of the new Senate to be 56.7 Democrats, 41.3 Republicans, and 2.0 independents; this is not significantly changed from 56.6-41.4-2.0 last week. We furthermore show the Democrats as having a 32 percent chance to control a 60-seat caucus (counting independents Joe Lieberman and Bernie Sanders), up incrementally from 30 percent last week.

http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3293/2956866653_7a3185c4e7_o.png

Although there has been a lot of polling within the past several days, much of it from Research 2000 (http://www.dailykos.com/tag/dkos%20poll), for the most part it has been in line with expectations.

As before, the Democrats have a fairly clear path to 59 seats, which would involve their picking up Virginia, New Mexico, Colorado, New Hampshire, Oregon, North Carolina, Alaska and Minnesota, all of which they are presently favored in (although in several cases only barely so). They could then pick up a 60th seat between Mississippi, Georgia or Kentucky, or -- less likely -- Texas. While several of these races are quite competitive, none of them have quite broken through to toss-up or lean Democrat. The interesting thing for the Democrats, however, is that most of these races are in the South, where Barack Obama overperformed his polls during the primaries. If the same thing happens during the general election -- because the pollsters have underestimated African-American turnout and so forth -- then pickups in Mississippi and Georgia would seem as likely as not. Kentucky, where Obama has fewer coattails, where the Democratic nominee is perhaps slightly more liberal than optimal, and where the Republicans will pull out all the stops to save Mitch McConnell, may be a tougher proposition.

http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3054/2956866755_ca0b67b26e_o.png

[RedWineSheets]

i def. think that dole is going down here in NC.

[saysmydoctor]

I seriously hope so.

[saysmydoctor]

http://www.tinklenberg08.com/

Let's try to get Michelle Bachmann out of office and off the Hill.

[saysmydoctor]

http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000002976960

[saysmydoctor]

Dear Sean,

Even as Congresswoman Michele Bachmann tries to backpedal from her outrageous comments Friday, comments which have inspired more than a million dollars for our campaign in the last four days alone, people across the country are just beginning to learn the truth about Congresswoman Michele Bachmann’s long history of extreme and divisive views:

At a debate with El Tinklenberg earlier this month, she claimed immigrants are “bringing in disease and violence and every sort of difficulty” to this country.
In September 2008, Bachmann blamed the financial crisis on a federal program that awarded home mortgage loans "on the basis of race and often on little else."
In February 2007, Bachmann told a newspaper that Iran had an agreement to take over half of Iraq, that a name had been chosen for that part of the region and that it would be used as a training ground for terrorists.
In March 2004, Bachmann said on the radio that failure to pass her Defense of Marriage Amendment in the Minnesota Senate would cause the gay community to start “specifically targeting our children.”
In a March, 2008 meeting she said "The big thing we are working on now is the global warming hoax. It's all voodoo, nonsense, hokum, a hoax,"


https://webmail.morrisville.edu/exchweb/img/clear1x1.gif (https://webmail.morrisville.edu/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://images.myngp.com/LinkTracker.aspx?crypt=IVi0ax2%252b 6UDLpC3olJXC48%252fv%252ftqtQFGd1pY D7HCwFY6cLDeH7plfweSCOUD3b7%252bTOi %252fuQC6cVGOAYPHw4BpKsfjf%252bjAR8 Nv%252bsR9N%252fCerQ9ffErzI5UsQ%252 b5bG9h%252f%252byGwKfdmlhFOajwVZvbv QjfrVo4bCK%252f8xoFLckuas4Tk9lRn%25 2fKT%252b7Svo%252fkjxRvtaPKOX6GIofQ duBRv8vE2kJ0qbxXmaewDz%252b1dIdowjT CfJad9E%253d)



Fear and division have dominated our nation’s politics for far too long. It’s time for us to deliver change – a change that moves beyond Democrat or Republican - by sending Congresswoman Bachmann home once and for all.


Your support, most recently following Rep. Bachmann’s offensive comments, has made our race one of the most competitive races in the country. Now, at this moment, we must bring this victory home for the families of Minnesota’s 6th District and for families across this country who are tired of being embarrassed by the men and women we thought would represent us in Washington with the dignity and respect we all deserve.
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We need your help once more.

Please give what you can now (https://webmail.morrisville.edu/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://images.myngp.com/LinkTracker.aspx?crypt=IVi0ax2%252b 6UDLpC3olJXC48%252fv%252ftqtQFGd1pY D7HCwFY6cLDeH7plfweSCOUD3b7%252bTOi %252fuQC6cVGOAYPHw4BpKsfjf%252bjAR8 Nv%252bsR9N%252fCerQ9ffErzI5UsQ%252 b5bG9h%252f%252byGwKfdmlhFOajwVZvbv QjfrVo4bCK%252f8xoFLckuas4Tk9lRn%25 2fKT%252b7Svo%252fkjxRvtaPKOX6GIofQ duBRv8vE2kJ0qbxXmaewDz%252b1dIdowjT CfJad9E%253d)to help us close the funding gap with our opponent. Despite our recent surge, we still trail our opponent by over $300,000. We need your help today to fight dollar-for-dollar right through Election Day. Now is our time to act! Please stand with us again today for victory in November. Click here to help with a $500, $250, $100, $50 contribution today. (https://webmail.morrisville.edu/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://images.myngp.com/LinkTracker.aspx?crypt=IVi0ax2%252b 6UDLpC3olJXC48%252fv%252ftqtQFGd1pY D7HCwFY6cLDeH7plfweSCOUD3b7%252bTOi %252fuQC6cVGOAYPHw4BpKsfjf%252bjAR8 Nv%252bsR9N%252fCerQ9ffErzI5UsQ%252 b5bG9h%252f%252byGwKfdmlhFOajwVZvbv QjfrVo4bCK%252f8xoFLckuas4Tk9lRn%25 2fKT%252b7Svo%252fkjxRvtaPKOX6GIofQ duBRv8vE2kJ0qbxXmaewDz%252b1dIdowjT CfJad9E%253d)

Sincerely,

Berrett Gall
Finance Director
Tinklenberg for Congress

P.S. Click here (https://webmail.morrisville.edu/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://images.myngp.com/LinkTracker.aspx?crypt=IVi0ax2%252b 6UBSinc%252fCPYaKXl3PCk5JLVkdSXdAcK BAHBgIuzR9YTlXt4tCVwfdx9CMS2T9cPQUV UA0TyMaC78mHedDQWLt2T1iXj%252beJeem 9NDjrA8rHwpieu890ri%252fHqAIED%252f AnliZlU%253d) to view our new TV ad that you are helping air at this exact moment. Please contribute today to help keep this ad on TV. (https://webmail.morrisville.edu/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://images.myngp.com/LinkTracker.aspx?crypt=IVi0ax2%252b 6UDLpC3olJXC48%252fv%252ftqtQFGd1pY D7HCwFY6cLDeH7plfweSCOUD3b7%252bTOi %252fuQC6cVGOAYPHw4BpKsfjf%252bjAR8 Nv%252bsR9N%252fCerQ9ffErzI5UsQ%252 b5bG9h%252f%252byGwKfdmlhFOajwVZvbv QjfrVo4bCK%252f8xoFLckuas4Tk9lRn%25 2fKT%252b7Svo%252fkjxRvtaPKOX6GIofQ duBRv8vE2kJ0qbxXmaewDz%252b1dIdowjT CfJad9E%253d)












Sincerely,
https://webmail.morrisville.edu/exchweb/img/clear1x1.gif
El Tinklenberg

[nfggc10]

GOP Pulling Its Ads From Bachmann's Race, Media Buyers Say

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/22/gop-pulling-its-ads-from_n_136941.html#postComment

[mattybobviously]

Our only national race this year is our house race... where Rep. Peter Welch is the candidate of both the Democratic and Republican parties.

The only exciting race in Vermont is the governor's race, which could get very dramatic post-election day if Gov. Douglas does not achieve a 50% majority. The whole governor's race is a long story in the first place, but if people are interested I'll give a run down, our unique third party presence is definitely shaping politics here.

[sjb2k1]

i def. think that dole is going down here in NC.i hope so. i keep getting annoying robocalls from dole's campaign about how kay hagan is the devil.

[RedWineSheets]

i hope so. i keep getting annoying robocalls from dole's campaign about how kay hagan is the devil.

that would get annoying.

[sjb2k1]

that would get annoying.i don't know why libby's even bothering with durham. i can't imagine she got a lot of support here last time around (but i can't be sure, i didn't live here then).

[saysmydoctor]

Raleigh-Durham is a pretty consistent electorate, she is wasting her time.

If I remember correctly.

[sjb2k1]

yep and chapel hill is completely out for her. no way in hell.

[Nevuk]

It's amazing for McConnell to even be that close in the polls. If Bruce Lunsford wins, I'll dance naked. (Really, McConnell is evil)

[Machu505]

It's amazing for McConnell to even be that close in the polls. If Bruce Lunsford wins, I'll dance naked. (Really, McConnell is evil)

Truth.

[saysmydoctor]

http://www.startribune.com/opinion/editorials/33243874.html?elr=KArksLckD8EQDUoaE yqyP4O:DW3ckUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aULPQL7PQL anchO7DiUT

Sonofabitch.

[Praetor]

I wish I paid more attention to local politics.

[saysmydoctor]

We need to stop republican filibusters.

[Machu505]

We can put Alaska into the democrat column.

[mattybobviously]

Exciting day. There have been some disgusting ads going around in Minnesota and North Carolina :-/

[saysmydoctor]

Minnesota has been dirty since the beginning.